Facets

2011 CE

#9892

A short history of mathematical population dynamics.

1710 CE

#12498

An argument for Divine Providence, taken from the constant regularity observed in the births of both sexes.

"Arbuthnot examined birth records in London for each of the 82 years from 1629 to 1710 and the human sex ratio at birth: in every year, the number of males born in London exceeded the number of females. If the probabi…

2005 CE

#14029

Body counts: Medical quantification in historical and sociological perspective / La quantificattion medicale, perspectives historiques et sociologigues. Edited by Gérard Jorland, Annick Opinel and George Weisz.

2013 CE

#10564

Design for information: An introduction to the histories, theories, and best practices behind effective information visualizations.

Visually splendid; includes frequent comparisons of modern computer representations with historical examples.

2009 CE

#13728

Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data.

Abstract "Seasonal influenza epidemics are a major public health concern, causing tens of millions of respiratory illnesses and 250,000 to 500,000 deaths worldwide each year1. In addition to seasonal influenza, a new …

2021 CE

#13507

Efficacy and safety of the mRNA-1273 SARSCov-2 vaccine.

mRNA-1273 is synonymous with the Moderna mRNA Covid-19 vaccine. The Moderna mRNA vaccine was produced from theoretical design to finished product and distribution in less than one year. This was the first published pa…

1864 CE

#1700.1

English life table. Tables of lifetimes, annuities, and premiums.

First extensive application of a mechanical computer to medical statistics. The appendix details the use of the Scheutz version of Charles Babbage’s calculating machine in the construction of English Life Table …

1970 CE

#8380

George A Sacher, Life table modification and life prolongation. IN: Handbook of the biology of aging, edited by Caleb E. Finch and Leonard Hayflick, pp. 582–638.

"The building of a connection between the Gompertz equation and the biology of ageing owes much to the work of biophysicist George Sacher [10] of the Argonne National Laboratory, whose introduction to ageing stemmed f…

2020 CE

#12100

IHME COVID-19 health service utilization forecasting team. Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months.

This paper was published online on March 26, 2020 and updated periodically. When I added it to this database on April 2, 2020 it had been updated on March 31, 2020. At that time the paper was available from healthdata…

1948 CE

#1716

Medical statistics from Graunt to Farr.

FitzPatrick Lectures, 1941 and 1943.

1838 CE

#145.57

Notice sur la loi que la population suit dans son accroissement.

Verhulst constructed the simplest mathematical model of a continously growing population with an upper limit to its size.

1859 CE

#7388

On the construction of life-tables, illustrated by a new life-table of the healthy districts of England.

Preliminary report, describing the use of the Scheutz Engine no. 3, a Babbage-style difference engine, to prepare life tables. The report's table B1, "Life-Table of Healthy English Districts," printed from stereotype …

1860 CE

#8376

On the law of mortality and the construction of annuity tables.

Gompertz-Makeham law. Makeham proposed the age-independent Makeham term that, together with the exponentially age-dependent Gompertz term, compose the Gompertz-Makeham law of mortality--one of the most effective theor…

1825 CE

#8375

On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies.

Gompertz function. "Gompertz showed that over much of the adult human lifespan, age-specific mortality rates increased in an exponential manner. Gompertz's work played an important role in shaping the emerging statist…

1945 CE

#9891

On the use of matrices in certain population mathematics.

"... the Leslie matrix is a discrete, age-structured model of population growth that is very popular in population ecology.... The Leslie matrix (also called the Leslie model) is one of the most well known ways to des…

1889 CE

#1705

On vital and medical statistics.

1845 CE

#145.58

Recherches mathématiques sur la loi d’accroissement de la population.

In his second paper on population growth Verhulst introduced the term, logistic. He modified his equation so its early part is exponential and becomes logistic only after a definite length of time. Verhulst published …

2020 CE

#13506

Safety and efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 vaccine.

BNT162b2 is synonomous with the Pfizer BioNTech mRNA Covid-19 vaccine. The Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA vaccine was produced from theoretical design to finished product and distribution in less than one year. This was the fir…

1835 CE

#1698.1

Sur l’homme et le développement des facultés, ou essai de physique sociale. 2 vols.

Quetelet’s statistical researches on the development of the physical and intellectual qualities of man, and an exposition of his concept of the “average man”, which became the by-word of quantitative…

1731 CE

#9461

Tabular observations recommended as the plainest and surest way of practising and improving physick. In a letter to a friend.

Clifton argued that physicians should base their judgments about the effects of treatments on a sufficient number of their own observations, or trusted observations by other physicians, rather than on the correlation …

2010 CE

#9459

The introduction of numerical methods to assess the effects of medical interventions during the 18th century: a brief history.

An outstanding bibliographical survey available online from the James Lind Library at this link.

1732 CE

#9460

The state of physick, ancient and modern, briefly considered: with a plan for the improvement of it.

Instead of assessing the efficacy of therapies by their correlation with theories, Clifton argued that physicians should base their judgments about the effects of treatments on a sufficient number of their own observa…

2011 CE

#10563

Visual complexity: Mapping patterns of information.

An exceptionally beautiful graphic work with many historical examples showing how data in many fields, including medicine and biology, can be mapped and visualized.

1885 CE

#1704

Vital statistics. A memorial volume of selections from the reports and writings of William Farr.

Farr applied statistical methods to epidemiology and was the first mathematically to express the rise and fall of epidemic diseases, thus making possible the more accurate prediction of the occurrence of epidemics.